Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
5 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
GAM
2 - 1
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAY
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATP
51%
22%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
COR
0 - 3
ATP
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
ATP
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |