Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAC
2 - 2
FLA
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PAR
4 - 0
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAR
26%
23%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 0
FLA
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
4DE
0 - 0
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
PAR
8 - 1
4DE
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
4DE
1 - 0
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PIA
2 - 0
4DE
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
4DE
1 - 0
PIA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |