Flamengo Ngagara vs Union Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TCH
2 - 0
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
PRI
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ESM
1 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 2
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 3
INT
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
USP
5 - 1
ROY
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
USP
2 - 1
TCH
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MAF
3 - 5
USP
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
LLB
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
USP
0 - 2
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |