Flackwell Heath vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
4 - 0
FLA
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 5
WAR
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 2
CAN
17%
24%
60%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
WAL
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
HAR
7 - 0
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 0
AVE
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WHI
0 - 3
YEL
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
POT
0 - 1
YEL
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 0
YEL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |