FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
31%
24%
46%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 3
RIG
19%
20%
62%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FKT
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUD
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
RIG
35%
25%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |