FK Tukums 2000 vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
7º
44
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 81 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 3
CAR
22%
23%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 0
FKT
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 4
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 2
SUP
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
4 - 2
LIE
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKJ
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |