FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
8º
70
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 85 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 84 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 60 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 51 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 29 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 58.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 41.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
6 - 2
FKT
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FKT
47%
24%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
GOR
3 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 2
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 1
GOR
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |