FK Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
7º
37
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 81 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 1
CAR
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
6 - 2
FKT
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FKT
47%
24%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 0
GRO
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 1
FSM
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 0
AUD
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 2
LAR
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |