FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
38.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
12º
12º
9
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 52 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 52 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 29 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 0
TUK
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
SKA
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
TUK
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
ALB
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 4
OUD
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
KFV
5 - 0
PRA
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 0
RFA
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
6 - 1
PRA
26%
19%
55%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FSL
3 - 2
PRA
38%
24%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |