1. Lyga Round 4

Transinvest Vilnius vs Neptunas Klaipėda analysis

Transinvest Vilnius Neptunas Klaipėda
71 ELO 66
3.8% Tilt 7.8%
1404º General ELO ranking 1821º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
44.2%
Transinvest Vilnius
26%
Draw
29.9%
Neptunas Klaipėda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
Transinvest Vilnius
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
Neptunas Klaipėda
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Transinvest Vilnius
+17%
+5%
Neptunas Klaipėda

Points and table prediction

Transinvest Vilnius
Their league position
Neptunas Klaipėda
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
43
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Transinvest Vilnius
55
75
95.5%
FK Tauras Taurage
48
65
66%
Neptunas Klaipėda
43
63
54.5%
FK Babrungas
39
59
55%
BFA
43
54
53.5%
Žalgiris II
33
50
63.5%
Atmosfera
31
42
53%
FK Jonava
28
36
25.5%
Minija Kretinga
10º
23
34
18%
Kauno Žalgiris II
24
32
10º
13.5%
FC Hegelmann II
11º
23
31
11º
22.5%
Nevezis
12º
20
31
12º
12.5%
Ekranas Panevezys
13º
20
28
13º
18.5%
Be1 NFA
16º
13
28
14º
18%
Panevėžys II
14º
17
25
15º
27%
FK Siauliai 2
15º
14
22
16º
49.5%
Expected probabilities
Transinvest Vilnius
Neptunas Klaipėda
Promotion
95.5% 1.5%
Promotion play-offs
4.5% 23.5%
Mid-table
0% 75%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Transinvest Vilnius
Neptunas Klaipėda
Atmosfera
Ekranas Panevezys
FK Tauras Taurage
FK Jonava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Transinvest Vilnius
Transinvest Vilnius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
BAB
FK Babrungas
2 - 6
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
40%
26%
33%
69 63 6 0
22 Mar. 2025
FKT
Transinvest Vilnius
0 - 1
Kauno Žalgiris
KZA
32%
23%
45%
69 77 8 0
15 Mar. 2025
FKT
Transinvest Vilnius
4 - 0
Be1 NFA
BEN
46%
27%
27%
68 68 0 +1
08 Mar. 2025
FKT
Transinvest Vilnius
1 - 0
FK Jonava
LIE
66%
19%
15%
67 37 30 +1
28 Feb. 2025
FSM
FK Metta
0 - 2
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
29%
21%
50%
67 64 3 0

Matches

Neptunas Klaipėda
Neptunas Klaipėda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
2 - 0
Žalgiris II
ZAL
76%
16%
8%
67 48 19 0
15 Mar. 2025
MIN
Minija Kretinga
0 - 4
Neptunas Klaipėda
NEP
12%
20%
68%
66 51 15 +1
07 Mar. 2025
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
5 - 1
FK Siauliai 2
SIA
63%
21%
16%
65 48 17 +1
08 Feb. 2025
DTE
Dziugas Telsiai
0 - 1
Neptunas Klaipėda
NEP
33%
23%
44%
65 64 1 0
01 Feb. 2025
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
3 - 1
Banga
BAN
36%
24%
39%
65 70 5 0