Spartak Varna II vs Sportist General Toshevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
15
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
FSV
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 0
SHU
64%
19%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 0
FSV
69%
17%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FKR
0 - 4
FSV
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
FSV
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Sportist General Toshevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SGT
1 - 8
CHE
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
SGT
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SGT
5 - 1
BOT
30%
21%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SEP
9 - 1
SGT
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SGT
0 - 0
BOT
26%
20%
54%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |