FK Tuzla City vs Celik Zenica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
15º
7º
45
2º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
0 - 0
SLO
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
TOS
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NSO
2 - 0
SLO
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
SLO
17%
23%
59%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Celik Zenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
ČEL
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
0 - 1
RAD
78%
15%
6%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
ČEL
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZVI
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
ČEL
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |