Siauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
6º
54
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 0
FAS
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 0
BAN
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
DAI
2 - 2
FAS
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FAS
3 - 3
DTE
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 0
FKT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
KZA
4 - 1
HLI
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 2
KZA
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
KZA
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 1
KZA
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |