Senno vs Niva Tolochin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOL
4 - 3
SEN
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SEN
2 - 4
FKP
41%
21%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MIO
3 - 0
SEN
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 9
POL
40%
21%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
2 - 3
DYO
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Niva Tolochin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MIO
5 - 0
NIT
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIT
2 - 5
POL
7%
11%
82%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DYO
3 - 0
NIT
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NIT
0 - 2
VEL
4%
9%
87%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKL
5 - 0
NIT
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |