UEFA Intertoto Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
FK Riga vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 1
DIN
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
3 - 1
FKD
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
VVE
1 - 2
FKR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LIE
2 - 2
FKR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
JFK
1 - 3
FKR
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
THR
4 - 6
FYL
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
KRR
3 - 0
FYL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
FJO
1 - 0
FYL
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
FYL
2 - 3
THR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
IAA
2 - 3
FYL
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |