UEFA Intertoto Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
FK Pobeda Prilep vs FC Farul Constanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda Prilep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
SIL
4 - 2
POB
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
POB
3 - 0
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
RAB
2 - 1
POB
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
POB
2 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MAK
3 - 0
POB
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Farul Constanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
CLU
3 - 0
FAR
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FAR
0 - 1
GAL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
FAR
4 - 2
TIM
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
RAP
0 - 0
FAR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |