Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Partizan Belgrade vs FK Riteriai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
RAD
1 - 0
PAR
14%
23%
64%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
RUD
81%
14%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
RUD
0 - 3
PAR
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ZOR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
GOR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Riteriai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 1
TRA
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 0
FCI
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
TRA
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 3
SUD
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -2 |