Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Partizan Belgrade vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KOL
0 - 4
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
SOC
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
NPA
1 - 4
PAR
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
SOC
1 - 1
PAR
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
SAN
32%
30%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TON
3 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
48%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |