Otrant Ulcinj vs Nikšić analysis


51	ELO	44
-14.9%	Tilt	-0.1%
2193º	General ELO ranking	48882º
10º	Country ELO ranking	61º
ELO win probability

55.9%

Otrant Ulcinj

23.4%

Draw

20.7%

Nikšić

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

55.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%

23.4%

Draw

0-0

6.5%

1-1

11.1%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

23.4%

20.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

38

5º

10º

7º

0

6º

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

10º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	53	61	1º	77%
2º	49	56	2º	41%
3º	48	56	3º	28%
4º	47	54	4º	41%
5º	44	51	5º	43.5%
7º	38	45	6º	12%
8º	38	45	7º	24.5%
6º	39	45	8º	29.5%
9º	34	41	9º	39.5%
10º	0	39	10º	50.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	10%
Promotion play-offs	0%	10.5%
Mid-table	88.5%	20%
Relegation	11.5%	59.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Otrant Ulcinj

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 May. 2023	IGA 0 - 0 OUL 35% 28% 37%	51	51	0	0
06 May. 2023	OUL 1 - 0 BER 35% 27% 38%	50	51	1	+1
30 Apr. 2023	FKM 1 - 0 OUL 48% 25% 28%	51	52	1	-1
26 Apr. 2023	BOK 1 - 3 OUL 48% 26% 26%	50	53	3	+1
22 Apr. 2023	OUL 0 - 0 KOM 37% 26% 37%	50	51	1	0

Matches

Nikšić

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Dec. 2022	IGA 3 - 1 OFK 45% 26% 29%	45	48	3	0
27 Nov. 2022	BER 3 - 1 OFK 60% 21% 19%	46	51	5	-1
20 Nov. 2022	OFK 0 - 0 FKM 31% 24% 45%	46	52	6	0
13 Nov. 2022	OUL 0 - 2 OFK 39% 25% 35%	45	43	2	+1
05 Nov. 2022	OFK 1 - 3 KOM 33% 25% 42%	46	51	5	-1