Otrant Ulcinj vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GRB
0 - 4
OUL
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 0
INT
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MLJ
0 - 2
OUL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 1
IGA
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
OUL
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LOV
0 - 0
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOK
3 - 0
LOV
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LOV
2 - 1
KOM
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LOV
1 - 0
IKD
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IGA
4 - 1
LOV
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |