FK Omarska vs FK Modrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
14º
18º
18º
35
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 67 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 52 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 50 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 49 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 46 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 43 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 43 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 42 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
35 | 39 |
17º
|
57% | |
|
|
18º
|
19 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Omarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 1
FKO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
RUD
21%
25%
55%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ROP
4 - 2
FKO
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 3
FVN
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PRN
1 - 2
FKO
58%
19%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FK Modrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 3
FVO
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BSK
1 - 2
MOD
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MOD
0 - 2
LAK
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
5 - 3
MOD
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 0
DRI
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |