Neftçi vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
FKN
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
GFK
0 - 0
FKN
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
QAR
4 - 1
FKN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 1
ZIR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
FKN
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
FKN
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
4 - 2
SKD
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
OLP
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 2
FHV
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 0
ARI
37%
26%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |