Mladost DG vs Nikšić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
0
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
0 - 0
FKM
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 0
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 0
BOK
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 1
FKM
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FKM
3 - 1
KOM
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IGA
3 - 1
OFK
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
OFK
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
FKM
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 3
KOM
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |