Mladost DG vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
39
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
FKM
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 3
IGA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
FKM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
0 - 0
FKM
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
GRB
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
2 - 0
MLJ
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 1
GRB
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 1
BOK
22%
27%
51%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |