Lyubertsy vs Metallurg Vidnoye II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+988%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
11º
10º
54
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
6º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
97.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
92% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyubertsy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
POD
4 - 1
FKL
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 0
FKK
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FKL
3 - 1
SAT
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FPT
3 - 0
FKL
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FKL
4 - 1
FKS
84%
10%
5%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Vidnoye II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FMV
2 - 1
FPT
9%
13%
78%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 5
FMV
53%
21%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FMV
1 - 1
FKY
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FMK
0 - 3
FMV
91%
6%
2%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FMV
1 - 1
FKZ
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |