Lukhovitsy vs Don Novomoskovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
32.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lukhovitsy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 1
LVY
65%
22%
13%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
LVY
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LVY
0 - 1
FAK
13%
24%
64%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
LVY
2 - 1
FKY
35%
30%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
ZVE
0 - 0
LVY
52%
27%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Don Novomoskovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
DNN
2 - 1
KOS
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
DNN
0 - 0
LOA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
BIM
0 - 0
DNN
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
DNN
2 - 0
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
DNN
2 - 0
TTM
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |