FK Liepāja vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
10º
6º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |