A PFG Normal Season Round 14

Levski Krumovgrad vs Spartak Varna analysis

Levski Krumovgrad Spartak Varna
66 ELO 69
8.3% Tilt -15.1%
2506º General ELO ranking 1929º
18º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Levski Krumovgrad
25.5%
Draw
29.8%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Levski Krumovgrad
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.9%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Levski Krumovgrad
-15%
-14%
Spartak Varna

Points and table prediction

Levski Krumovgrad
Their league position
Spartak Varna
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
12º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
76
76
100%
Levski Sofia
62
62
100%
Arda Kardzhali
53
53
0%
Cherno More Varna
53
53
0%
Botev Plovdiv
49
49
100%
Spartak Varna
48
48
100%
CSKA Sofia
47
47
100%
Beroe
42
42
0%
Slavia Sofia
42
42
0%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Septemvri Sofia
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Levski Krumovgrad
13º
30
30
12º
100%
Lokomotiv Sofia
12º
30
30
13º
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Botev Vratsa
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Levski Krumovgrad
Spartak Varna
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Levski Krumovgrad
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Levski Krumovgrad
Levski Krumovgrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2024
OBO
Oborishte
0 - 1
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
10%
19%
71%
67 40 27 0
26 Oct. 2024
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
0 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
35%
27%
37%
67 60 7 0
19 Oct. 2024
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
39%
28%
33%
67 65 2 0
04 Oct. 2024
FLK
Levski Krumovgrad
1 - 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSK
37%
27%
36%
67 74 7 0
28 Sep. 2024
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 2
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
55%
25%
20%
67 72 5 0

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2024
SAY
Sayana Haskovo
0 - 4
Spartak Varna
SVA
5%
11%
84%
69 41 28 0
23 Oct. 2024
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
43%
26%
31%
68 70 2 +1
18 Oct. 2024
BER
Beroe
3 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
34%
28%
38%
69 66 3 -1
06 Oct. 2024
SVA
Spartak Varna
3 - 2
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
54%
25%
21%
69 65 4 0
30 Sep. 2024
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
0 - 1
Spartak Varna
SVA
35%
26%
39%
69 63 6 0