A PFG Normal Season Round 3

Levski Krumovgrad vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Levski Krumovgrad Cherno More Varna
64 ELO 78
8.1% Tilt -5.7%
2470º General ELO ranking 796º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.6%
Levski Krumovgrad
29.9%
Draw
41.5%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
Levski Krumovgrad
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
41.5%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Levski Krumovgrad
-21%
-6%
Cherno More Varna

Points and table prediction

Levski Krumovgrad
Their league position
Cherno More Varna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
12º
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
75
75
100%
CSKA Sofia
63
63
100%
Cherno More Varna
62
62
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
55
55
100%
Levski Sofia
54
54
100%
Botev Plovdiv
44
44
0%
Levski Krumovgrad
44
44
0%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
43
43
100%
Arda Kardzhali
39
39
100%
Slavia Sofia
10º
33
33
10º
0%
Beroe
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Hebar Pazardzhik
12º
30
30
12º
0%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
13º
30
30
13º
0%
Lokomotiv Sofia
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Botev Vratsa
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Etar 1924
16º
14
14
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Levski Krumovgrad
Cherno More Varna
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Levski Krumovgrad
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Levski Krumovgrad
Levski Krumovgrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
58%
25%
18%
65 78 13 0
14 Jul. 2023
FLK
Levski Krumovgrad
3 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
21%
26%
52%
63 78 15 +2
07 Jul. 2023
CSM
Politehnica Iași
0 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
40%
23%
37%
63 64 1 0
06 Jul. 2023
CSM
Politehnica Iași
0 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
40%
23%
37%
63 64 1 0
04 Jul. 2023
SSO
Slavia Sofia
1 - 1
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
72%
17%
11%
63 78 15 0

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
63%
23%
14%
77 65 12 0
15 Jul. 2023
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
3 - 3
Cherno More Varna
CVA
52%
25%
23%
77 77 0 0
08 Jul. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
4 - 0
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
74%
17%
9%
77 55 22 0
05 Jul. 2023
DUN
Dunav Ruse
2 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
25%
26%
49%
77 61 16 0
05 Jul. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
Dobrudzha Dobrich
DOB
75%
17%
8%
77 56 21 0