Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda. Final
Global 6-1
FK Krasnodar vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
KRA
3 - 0
TOM
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 3
KRA
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
KRA
4 - 0
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
KRA
2 - 2
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
KRA
0 - 0
DUK
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 3
KRA
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 0
SIR
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |