Khan Tengri vs Arys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
8º
7º
33
1º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Khan Tengri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 4
FKK
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
KYR
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FKZ
4 - 1
FKK
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
EKI
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FKY
2 - 1
FKK
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ARY
1 - 1
EKI
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 0
ARY
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARY
2 - 1
FKA
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FKY
0 - 6
ARY
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ARY
0 - 4
FKT
23%
26%
52%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |