Kauno Žalgiris II vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
13º
12º
17
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 75 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 64 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 58 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 52 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 39 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 30 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 30 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 5
FKK
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKK
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 2
BFA
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 4
FKK
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 2
BFA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
FKE
3 - 1
PAN
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
PAN
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
FKT
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |