FS Jelgava vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
9º
6º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
AUD
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
19%
23%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
4 - 1
VAL
12%
21%
68%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
17%
76%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |