FS Jelgava vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
9º
6º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
AUD
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
4 - 1
VAL
11%
20%
70%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
16%
78%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
VAL
13%
21%
67%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |