Virsliga Round 14

FS Jelgava vs Valmiera FC analysis

FS Jelgava Valmiera FC
62 ELO 53
-12.9% Tilt -13.3%
2470º General ELO ranking 829º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.1%
FS Jelgava
24.9%
Draw
26%
Valmiera FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
FS Jelgava
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
Valmiera FC
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FS Jelgava
-5%
-1%
Valmiera FC

ELO progression

FS Jelgava
Valmiera FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2018
FSM
FK Metta
2 - 1
FS Jelgava
FKJ
38%
25%
37%
63 57 6 0
01 Jul. 2018
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 0
FK Metta
FSM
50%
27%
24%
62 57 5 +1
21 Jun. 2018
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
69%
20%
12%
63 73 10 -1
15 Jun. 2018
CAR
Riga FC
1 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
64%
22%
14%
63 71 8 0
27 May. 2018
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 2
FK RFS
RIG
27%
27%
47%
64 71 7 -1

Matches

Valmiera FC
Valmiera FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2018
PRE
Preiļu BJSS
0 - 3
Valmiera FC
VAL
14%
16%
71%
53 30 23 0
30 Jun. 2018
VAL
Valmiera FC
0 - 2
Riga FC
CAR
23%
24%
53%
54 72 18 -1
22 Jun. 2018
VAL
Valmiera FC
1 - 1
FK Metta
FSM
48%
24%
29%
54 57 3 0
16 Jun. 2018
RIG
FK RFS
4 - 0
Valmiera FC
VAL
74%
16%
10%
54 71 17 0
26 May. 2018
FKS
FK Spartaks
3 - 0
Valmiera FC
VAL
61%
22%
17%
55 72 17 -1