FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 0
FKJ
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
FKJ
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
FKJ
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
TAL
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
FKJ
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 2
BFC
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFC
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
BFC
47%
23%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |