FS Jelgava vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FSM
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FKT
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |