FS Jelgava vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
10º
10º
25
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 78 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 73 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 71 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 56 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 47 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 41 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 37 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 26 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
63.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FKT
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |