FAP Priboj vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
78.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
8º
3º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAP Priboj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRP
2 - 0
PRI
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PRI
2 - 1
TUT
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
PRI
57%
24%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 0
BUD
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 2
PLJ
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SME
0 - 0
BOR
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
SME
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SME
3 - 0
MLA
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUA
1 - 3
SME
10%
18%
72%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SME
2 - 0
FRK
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |