FK Epitsentr vs FSC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
7º
5º
37
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FED
3 - 0
NYV
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FED
2 - 2
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 3
FCD
74%
16%
11%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FNB
0 - 2
FED
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 0
FKC
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FYM
3 - 0
POK
27%
23%
51%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCZ
1 - 3
FYM
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FYM
0 - 0
POL
38%
22%
40%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FYM
1 - 0
KRE
55%
22%
22%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |