FK Epitsentr vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
16º
12º
4
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 54 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 53 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 49 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 48 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 47 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 46 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 46 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 41 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 40 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 35 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 26 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 26.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
KOL
5 - 0
FED
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
OBO
1 - 1
FED
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
FED
0 - 2
BUK
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
RYV
1 - 1
FED
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FED
2 - 1
FKK
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 0
BJK
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
BJK
2 - 4
SHA
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 1
TRI
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
ILV
0 - 0
SHA
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
BRI
0 - 5
SHA
15%
22%
63%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |