Dunav Ruse II vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
13º
10º
21
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
DOR
7%
13%
81%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 2
SVE
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
7 - 2
DOR
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 1
SEP
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 0
DOR
59%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 2
UST
7%
13%
80%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UST
0 - 3
SVE
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
6 - 2
UST
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UST
0 - 1
SEP
21%
26%
53%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |