Bulgaria Third Division North-west Round 20

Drenovets vs Partizan analysis

Drenovets Partizan
30 ELO 31
0.2% Tilt 4.3%
44158º General ELO ranking 11100º
268º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Drenovets
23.8%
Draw
42.6%
Partizan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Drenovets
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.6%
Win probability
Partizan
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Drenovets
Their league position
Partizan
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
11º
16º
12º
33
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bdin
73
76
100%
Lokomotiv GO
69
72
100%
Vihar Slavyanovo
63
66
93.5%
Lokomotiv Mezdra
60
63
93.5%
Pavlikeni
52
55
100%
FC Sevlievo
48
51
100%
Akademik Svishtov
39
42
43%
Yantra Polski
40
41
43%
Partizan
33
33
69%
Juventus Malchika
10º
33
33
10º
70.5%
Botev Vratsa II
12º
30
31
11º
37.5%
Drenovets
11º
31
31
12º
56%
OFK Levski
13º
28
31
13º
46.5%
Etar II
14º
25
26
14º
87%
Boruna Tsareva livada
15º
23
23
15º
98.5%
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Drenovets
Partizan
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Drenovets
Partizan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Drenovets
Drenovets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
VIH
Vihar Slavyanovo
6 - 1
Drenovets
FKD
74%
16%
10%
28 45 17 0
11 Mar. 2023
FKD
Drenovets
0 - 0
FC Sevlievo
SEV
12%
21%
68%
26 48 22 +2
04 Mar. 2023
BDI
Bdin
4 - 0
Drenovets
FKD
82%
12%
6%
27 47 20 -1
26 Feb. 2023
FKD
Drenovets
1 - 2
Etar II
ETR
79%
13%
8%
27 18 9 0
12 Nov. 2022
FKD
Drenovets
1 - 6
Lokomotiv GO
LOK
10%
17%
73%
30 51 21 -3

Matches

Partizan
Partizan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
PAR
Partizan
0 - 3
Yantra Polski
YPT
39%
24%
38%
35 38 3 0
11 Mar. 2023
PAV
Pavlikeni
2 - 1
Partizan
PAR
55%
22%
23%
36 40 4 -1
04 Mar. 2023
PAR
Partizan
2 - 0
Boruna Tsareva livada
BTL
58%
20%
22%
35 30 5 +1
25 Feb. 2023
JUV
Juventus Malchika
2 - 6
Partizan
PAR
46%
23%
31%
34 31 3 +1
12 Nov. 2022
PAR
Partizan
2 - 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
LOK
31%
24%
45%
35 41 6 -1