Liga Letonia - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-1
Daugava Riga vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FKD
1 - 1
GUL
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LIE
4 - 0
FKD
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FKD
1 - 3
FCS
15%
24%
62%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FKS
2 - 2
FKD
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FKD
0 - 4
VEN
15%
23%
63%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 4
BFC
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BFC
3 - 0
VEN
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LME
4 - 1
BFC
80%
13%
6%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKJ
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RIG
2 - 0
BFC
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |