Europa Conference League Group D Round 5

FK Bodo Glimt vs FC Lugano analysis

FK Bodo Glimt FC Lugano
85 ELO 81
21.8% Tilt 24.8%
224º General ELO ranking 310º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
58.8%
FK Bodo Glimt
20%
Draw
21.3%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
FK Bodo Glimt
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.3%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Bodo Glimt
+6%
-8%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

FK Bodo Glimt
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Bodo Glimt
FK Bodo Glimt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
BBS
SK Brann
4 - 2
FK Bodo Glimt
BOG
34%
24%
42%
85 81 4 0
12 Nov. 2023
BOG
FK Bodo Glimt
1 - 0
Aalesunds FK
ELP
86%
10%
4%
85 61 24 0
09 Nov. 2023
BJK
Beşiktaş
1 - 2
FK Bodo Glimt
BOG
44%
23%
33%
86 86 0 -1
05 Nov. 2023
STB
Stabæk
0 - 4
FK Bodo Glimt
BOG
10%
18%
72%
86 67 19 0
30 Oct. 2023
BOG
FK Bodo Glimt
3 - 1
Lillestrom SK
LSK
71%
17%
12%
86 76 10 0

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
YVE
Yverdon
0 - 5
FC Lugano
LUG
19%
23%
58%
81 69 12 0
12 Nov. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
38%
26%
37%
81 82 1 0
09 Nov. 2023
BRU
Club Brugge
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
63%
20%
17%
81 88 7 0
04 Nov. 2023
LAU
Lausanne Sports
3 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
20%
22%
58%
82 71 11 -1
01 Nov. 2023
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 4
FC Lugano
LUG
26%
23%
52%
81 71 10 +1