Beitar/Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+829%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
3º
35
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 52 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 42 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 37 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 31 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 68.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
6 - 1
PRA
27%
20%
54%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKB
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
3 - 1
SMI
19%
17%
64%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 3
VAL
2%
6%
92%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RFA
2 - 5
FKB
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 3
SUP
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 0
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
ALB
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 2
ALB
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 2
OUD
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |