Baykal Irkutsk vs Buryatia Ulan-Ude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
13º
10º
51
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baykal Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 1
MET
8%
18%
74%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 4
FRM
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKB
2 - 1
FKI
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 5
FPB
9%
15%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
3 - 3
TOR
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buryatia Ulan-Ude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BUU
1 - 0
FRM
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BUU
1 - 2
MET
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BUU
3 - 1
FKY
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BUU
2 - 0
FRK
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
BUU
3 - 1
FKN
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |