UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 6-4
FK Baku vs Ekranas Panevezys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
FKE
2 - 2
FKB
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FKB
4 - 0
MUG
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 2
FKB
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
QAR
2 - 1
FKB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FKB
1 - 0
SIM
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
FKE
2 - 2
FKB
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
FKE
2 - 2
SUD
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
FAS
0 - 1
FKE
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
FKE
2 - 1
FKT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 2
FKE
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |