Astana II vs Igilik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
FSB
2 - 4
FKA
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
KAI
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FKY
6 - 0
FKA
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
FKA
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ZHE
1 - 0
FKA
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Igilik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
IGI
1 - 0
BAY
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FSB
1 - 0
IGI
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
IGI
1 - 0
EKI
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
KAI
1 - 0
IGI
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
IGI
1 - 7
KAI
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |