Fiumana US vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiumana US
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1929 |
FIU
2 - 0
BRE
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
PIS
1 - 1
FIU
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
FIU
0 - 2
BOL
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
FIU
2 - 2
LEO
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIU
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1929 |
PIS
0 - 1
GEN
15%
17%
68%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
GEN
1 - 0
VNZ
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
GEN
1 - 1
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
BOL
3 - 1
GEN
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 2
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |