La Fiorita vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
46%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
SGI
0 - 4
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
FIO
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 2
DOM
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 2
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
TPE
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |