La Fiorita vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 5
FIO
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
SGI
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
FAE
2 - 0
FIO
21%
24%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 3
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TFI
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |